内容简介
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Machine learning (ML) is changing virtually every aspect of our lives. Today ML algorithms accomplish tasks that until recently only expert humans could perform. As it relates to finance, this is the most exciting time to adopt a disruptive technology that will transform how everyone invests for generations. Readers will learn how to structure Big data in a way that is amenable to ML algorithms; how to conduct research with ML algorithms on that data; how to use supercomputing methods; how to backtest your discoveries while avoiding false positives. The book addresses real-life problems faced by practitioners on a dAIly basis, and explains scientifically sound solutions using math, supported by code and examples. Readers become active users who can test the proposed solutions in their particular setting. Written by a recognized expert and portfolio manager, this book will equip investment professionals with the groundbreaking tools needed to succeed in modern finance.
作者简介
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DR. MARCOS LÓPEZ DE PRADO manages several multibillion-dollar funds for institutional investors using ML algorithms. Marcos is also a research fellow at Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (U.S. Department of Energy, Office of Science). One of the top-10 most read authors in finance (SSRN’s rankings), he has published dozens of scientific articles on ML in the leading academic journals, and he holds multiple international patent applications on algorithmic trading. Marcos earned a PhD in Financial Economics (2003), a second PhD in Mathematical Finance (2011) from Universidad Complutense de Madrid, and is a recipient of Spain’s National Award for Academic Excellence (1999). He completed his post-doctoral research at Harvard University and Cornell University, where he teaches a Financial ML course at the School of Engineering. Marcos has an Erdös #2 and an Einstein #4 according to the American Mathematical Society.
目录
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About the Author
Preamble
1. Financial Machine Learning as a Distinct Subject
Part 1: Data Analysis
2. Financial Data Structures
3. Labeling
4. Sample Weights
5. Fractionally Differentiated Features
Part 2: Modelling
6. Ensemble Methods
7. Cross-validation in Finance
8. Feature Importance
9. Hyper-parameter Tuning with Cross-Validation
Part 3: Backtesting
10. Bet Sizing
11. The Dangers of Backtesting
12. Backtesting through Cross-Validation
13. Backtesting on Synthetic Data
14. Backtest Statistics
15. Understanding Strategy Risk
16. Machine Learning Asset Allocation
Part 4: Useful Financial Features
17. Structural Breaks
18. Entropy Features
19. Microstructural Features
Part 5: High-Performance Computing Recipes
20. Multiprocessing and Vectorization
21. Brute Force and Quantum Computers
22. High-Performance Computational Intelligence and Forecasting Technologies
Dr. Kesheng Wu and Dr. Horst Simon
Index
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